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Thursday, November 21
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Women's Super League | Gameweek 1
Sep 5, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
3 - 2
Chelsea Women

Miedema (14'), Mead (49', 60')
McCabe (23'), Parris (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cuthbert (44'), Mosegaard-Harder (64')
Ericsson (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.46%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
40.45%23.25%36.3%
Both teams to score 64.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.76%37.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.55%59.44%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.12%18.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64%50.36%
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.18%20.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.51%53.49%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 40.45%
    Chelsea Women 36.3%
    Draw 23.25%
Arsenal WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.57%
1-0 @ 6.55%
2-0 @ 5.46%
3-1 @ 4.76%
3-2 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-2 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 10.28%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.93%
3-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 4.22%
2-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 2.53%
1-4 @ 1.66%
2-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 36.3%

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