Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
