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Women's Super League | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2021 at 6.45pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
5 - 0
Man City Women

Miedema (10'), Little (23', 78' pen.), McCabe (60'), Williamson (90+4')
Maritz (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Stokes (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
38.11%24.21%37.68%
Both teams to score 60.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.12%41.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.71%64.29%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01%21.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.71%55.29%
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.79%22.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.38%55.62%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 38.11%
    Manchester City Women 37.68%
    Draw 24.2%
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.43%
1-0 @ 7.4%
2-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.83%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.21%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 38.11%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-1 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 5.53%
1-3 @ 4.2%
2-3 @ 3.18%
0-3 @ 2.77%
1-4 @ 1.58%
2-4 @ 1.2%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.68%

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