SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 72.02%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 2-1 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Arsenal Women |
11.36% ( 0.06) | 16.62% ( 0.06) | 72.02% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.01% ( -0.11) | 35.99% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.91% ( -0.12) | 58.09% ( 0.12) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( 0.03) | 42.24% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( 0.02) | 78.64% ( -0.03) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.24% ( -0.06) | 8.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.92% ( -0.13) | 30.08% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur Ladies | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.36% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.14% Total : 16.62% | 0-2 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 8.9% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 7.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.67% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.31% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)0-6 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)1-6 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 72.02% |
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