SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.53%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
81.66% ( 0.05) | 11.88% ( -0.03) | 6.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.17% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.75% ( 0.02) | 29.24% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.72% ( 0.02) | 50.28% ( -0.02) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.63% ( 0.01) | 5.36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.94% ( 0.03) | 21.05% ( -0.04) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.96% ( -0.07) | 48.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.74% ( -0.05) | 83.26% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0)4-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0)4-1 @ 5.77% ( 0)5-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 3.37% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.65% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)7-0 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.71% Total : 81.66% | 1-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 11.88% | 1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.89% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 6.46% |
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