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Women's Super League | Gameweek 5
Oct 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
0 - 1
Everton Ladies


Corsie (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Graham (57')
Bjorn (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 West Ham
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-2 Everton Ladies

Although Everton have played one more league game than their opponents, both sides are level on six points, and we think that two closely matched teams will have to settle for a point apiece on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Ladies win with a probability of 44.34%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton Ladies win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Everton Ladies in this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawEverton Ladies
30.4% (0.482 0.48) 25.26% (-0.271 -0.27) 44.34% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Both teams to score 55.02% (1.151 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.59% (1.382 1.38)48.41% (-1.379 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.45% (1.251 1.25)70.54% (-1.246 -1.25)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (1.039 1.04)29.62% (-1.036 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (1.243 1.24)65.66% (-1.239 -1.24)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.18% (0.491 0.49)21.82% (-0.487 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.96% (0.74 0.74)55.04% (-0.737 -0.74)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 30.4%
    Everton Ladies 44.34%
    Draw 25.26%
Aston Villa WomenDrawEverton Ladies
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.221 -0.22)
2-1 @ 7.28% (0.112 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.128 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 30.4%
1-1 @ 11.97% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 9.84% (-0.412 -0.41)
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.49% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-3 @ 4.62% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.81% (0.123 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.76% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.45% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 West Ham
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, September 25 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 4-3 Man City Women
Sunday, September 18 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 B'ham Women
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 7-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 1 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, April 24 at 6pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-3 Chelsea Women
Sunday, October 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-0 Leicester Women
Thursday, September 29 at 6.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-3 Everton Ladies
Sunday, September 25 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-0 Everton Ladies
Sunday, September 18 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 1-1 Everton Ladies
Sunday, May 8 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 2-2 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, May 1 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League


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