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Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 16, 2024 at 1pm UK
Goodison Park

Everton Ladies
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Stenevik (85')
Stenevik (70')
Stenevik (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dali (55'), Salmon (60')
Taylor (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Everton Ladies
Saturday, March 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Liverpool Women
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Women's Super League

We said: Everton Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa Women

Aston Villa have won four of their last six away league games, and we think that they may enjoy more away success against an Everton side that has lost five of their seven home matches in the WSL this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 18.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 2-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.

Result
Everton LadiesDrawAston Villa Women
18.67% (-0.13 -0.13) 19.67% (-0.064 -0.06) 61.65% (0.188 0.19)
Both teams to score 60.89% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.46% (0.090000000000003 0.09)34.54% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.53% (0.104 0.1)56.47% (-0.109 -0.11)
Everton Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.3% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)31.7% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.88% (-0.086000000000002 -0.09)68.12% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (0.073000000000008 0.07)10.84% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.08% (0.17099999999999 0.17)34.92% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Everton Ladies 18.67%
    Aston Villa Women 61.65%
    Draw 19.67%
Everton LadiesDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 5.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 3.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 18.67%
1-1 @ 8.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.44% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.67%
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.22% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.28% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 4.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 4.01% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.49% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.3% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.78% (0.016 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.55% (0.017 0.02)
2-5 @ 1.02% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 61.65%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City Women 2-1 Everton Ladies
Saturday, March 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 2-0 West Ham
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Everton Ladies
Sunday, February 4 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 0-1 Leicester Women
Sunday, January 28 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-1 Everton Ladies
Saturday, January 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-4 Man City Women
Sunday, December 17 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Liverpool Women
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Bristol Women
Saturday, February 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, January 28 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Friday, January 19 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, December 17 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League


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