Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 28, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 76.36%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 7.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.01%) and 0-3 (11.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
7.64% ( -0.02) | 16% ( -0.01) | 76.36% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 39.3% ( -0.08) |
| 54.71% ( -0.04) | 45.29% ( 0.04) |
| 32.37% ( -0.04) | 67.63% ( 0.04) |
| 43.7% ( -0.09) | 56.29% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 11.36% ( -0.05) | 88.64% ( 0.05) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| 89.93% ( -0) | 10.07% ( 0) |
