SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.97%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
6.47% ( 0.08) | 12.56% ( -0.06) | 80.97% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.93% ( 0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.73) | 33.09% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.17% ( 0.83) | 54.83% ( -0.83) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.99% ( 0.78) | 51% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.65% ( 0.52) | 85.34% ( -0.52) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.75% ( 0.14) | 6.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.42% ( 0.4) | 23.57% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 1-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 2% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 6.47% | 1-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.56% | 0-2 @ 12.25% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 11.32% ( -0.15)0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.27)1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 7.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 5.29% ( 0.09)0-5 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.93% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.08)0-6 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.07)1-6 @ 1.36% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.56% Total : 80.96% |
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