SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 56%. A win for Reading Women had a probability of 23.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.23%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Reading Women win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
23.26% ( 0.07) | 20.74% ( 0.03) | 56% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.46% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.85% ( -0.07) | 33.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.11% ( -0.08) | 54.89% ( 0.08) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.18% ( 0.02) | 26.81% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.89% ( 0.02) | 62.1% ( -0.03) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% ( -0.06) | 11.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.73% ( -0.11) | 37.27% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 23.26% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.74% | 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0)0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 56% |
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