SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 76.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 8.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.97%) and 1-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
8.73% ( 0.26) | 14.42% ( 0.12) | 76.85% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 50.58% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.56% ( 0.39) | 33.44% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.77% ( 0.45) | 55.23% ( -0.45) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.46% ( 0.86) | 45.54% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.64% ( 0.67) | 81.36% ( -0.67) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.87% ( 0.01) | 7.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.04% ( 0.03) | 25.95% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.6% Total : 8.73% | 1-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.42% | 0-2 @ 11.32% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 9.97% ( -0.18)1-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 7.84% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 6.58% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 5.18% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 3.48% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.06)0-6 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)1-6 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.35% Total : 76.85% |
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