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Women's Super League | Gameweek 20
Apr 28, 2024 at 2pm UK
Villa Park

Aston Villa
1 - 1
West Ham

Lehmann (72')
Patten (64'), Dali (90+4'), Turner (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cooke (90+5')
Smith (27')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 1-1 West Ham United Women

West Ham have lost each of their last three WSL away matches, and we think that they will do enough to take a point off an Aston Villa side that has gone five games without a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 58.37%. A win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 21.63% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.29%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest West Ham United Women win was 1-2 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
58.37% (0.809 0.81) 20% (-0.186 -0.19) 21.63% (-0.621 -0.62)
Both teams to score 64.9% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.41% (0.090999999999994 0.09)31.59% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.91% (0.10599999999999 0.11)53.08% (-0.105 -0.11)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21% (0.23999999999999 0.24)10.79% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.18% (0.53 0.53)34.81% (-0.529 -0.53)
West Ham United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.75% (-0.461 -0.46)27.25% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.32% (-0.602 -0.6)62.67% (0.605 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 58.37%
    West Ham United Women 21.63%
    Draw 20%
Aston Villa WomenDrawWest Ham United Women
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.03% (0.083 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.41% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.92% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.01% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.55% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.74% (0.054 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.059 0.06)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 58.37%
1-1 @ 8.51% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-0 @ 2.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 20%
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-1 @ 3.82% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.49% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 21.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 17 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Leicester Women
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Liverpool Women
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 5-0 West Ham
Sunday, April 21 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-0 Brighton Women
Sunday, March 31 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 24 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 3-1 West Ham
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Man Utd Women
Sunday, March 3 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 2-0 West Ham
Sunday, February 18 at 1pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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