Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
67.32% ( 0.62) | 17.82% ( -0.27) | 14.86% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 59.13% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.08% ( 0.57) | 32.92% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.37% ( 0.65) | 54.63% ( -0.65) |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.98% ( 0.3) | 9.02% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.28% ( 0.7) | 30.72% ( -0.7) |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.99% ( -0.08) | 35.01% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% ( -0.08) | 71.75% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.08) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.96% Total : 67.32% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.82% | 1-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.39% Total : 14.86% |
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