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Women's Super League | Gameweek 19
Apr 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
3 - 0
Aston Villa

Beever-Jones (18'), Hamano (38'), Buchanan (64')
Ingle (61'), Lawrence (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Corsie (8'), Daly (45+4')
Leat (4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Leicester Women
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Aston Villa Women

Chelsea may have experienced disappointment in their last two cup games, but they are usually a tough team to beat on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to return to winning ways in Wednesday's clash with Aston Villa. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 3-1 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
67.32% (0.622 0.62) 17.82% (-0.269 -0.27) 14.86% (-0.351 -0.35)
Both teams to score 59.13% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.08% (0.56699999999999 0.57)32.92% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.37% (0.649 0.65)54.63% (-0.647 -0.65)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.295 0.3)9.02% (-0.292 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.70099999999999 0.7)30.72% (-0.699 -0.7)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.99% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)35.01% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.25% (-0.081 -0.08)71.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 67.32%
    Aston Villa Women 14.86%
    Draw 17.82%
Chelsea WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 9.14% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.69% (0.063 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-0 @ 7.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.63% (0.099 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.41% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.43% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 2.23% (0.077 0.08)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.078 0.08)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.96%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.16% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 14.86%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd Women 2-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 14 at 2.35pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-1 Ajax
Wednesday, March 27 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 24 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Chelsea Women
Tuesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Arsenal Women
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester Women 0-4 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 3 at 6pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Leicester Women
Saturday, March 30 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-3 Arsenal Women
Sunday, March 24 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Everton Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Liverpool Women
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Bristol Women
Saturday, February 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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