SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for West Ham United Women had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 0-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a West Ham United Women win it was 2-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
19.28% ( 0.22) | 21.24% ( 0.17) | 59.48% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.34% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.99% ( -0.43) | 41% ( 0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.6% ( -0.44) | 63.4% ( 0.44) |
| West Ham United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.08% ( -0.02) | 34.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.35% ( -0.02) | 71.65% ( 0.02) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.56% ( -0.25) | 13.44% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.59% ( -0.51) | 40.41% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 5.21% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.96% Total : 19.28% | 1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.34% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.31% Total : 59.48% |
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