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Women's Super League | Gameweek 22
May 10, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 0
Liverpool

Beever-Jones (90+1')
Bronze (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hobinger (40')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Chelsea
Sunday, May 4 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-2 Everton
Sunday, May 4 at 12pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Liverpool Women

Chelsea have already beaten Liverpool on two occasions this season, and we think that they will pull off another win against the Merseyside club to finish the WSL campaign with an unbeaten record and build momentum ahead of the FA Cup final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 9.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
76.65% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01) 13.97% (0.0020000000000007 0) 9.39% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.84% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.45% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.55% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)49.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.9% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)6.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.83% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)23.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (0.010999999999996 0.01)40.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01)77.13% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 76.65%
    Liverpool Women 9.39%
    Draw 13.97%
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 9.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 8.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 6.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 5.69%
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 3.18% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.57%
6-0 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.48%
5-2 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 76.65%
1-1 @ 6.25% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-0 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 13.97%
1-2 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 2.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.19%
0-2 @ 1.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 9.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Chelsea
Sunday, May 4 at 2.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd 0-1 Chelsea
Wednesday, April 30 at 8.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-4 Barcelona
Sunday, April 27 at 2pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 4-0 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 23 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Barcelona 4-1 Chelsea
Sunday, April 20 at 5pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 West Ham
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 0-2 Everton
Sunday, May 4 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-2 Spurs
Sunday, April 27 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 1-2 Liverpool
Saturday, April 19 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 1-2 Aston Villa
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Liverpool
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool 3-1 Man Utd
Friday, March 14 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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