SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 88.51%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 3.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 4-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.71%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (1.16%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
88.51% ( -0.54) | 7.97% ( 0.35) | 3.52% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.82% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.92% ( -0.91) | 23.08% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 57.63% ( -1.24) | 42.37% ( 1.24) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.76% ( -0.21) | 3.24% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.64% ( -0.72) | 14.36% ( 0.72) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.32% ( 0.09) | 53.68% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 12.92% ( 0.06) | 87.08% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
| 3-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.27)5-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.2)6-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)7-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.14)5-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)7-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.54% Total : 88.5% | 1-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.54% Total : 7.97% | 1-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.28% Total : 3.52% |
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