SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 77.61%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 8.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.53%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.25%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 2-1 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
8.69% ( 1.44) | 13.71% ( 1.27) | 77.61% ( -2.71) |
| Both teams to score 53.56% ( 2.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.23% ( -1.02) | 29.77% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.09% ( -1.25) | 50.91% ( 1.25) |
| Everton Ladies Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.1% ( 2.6) | 42.91% ( -2.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.79% ( 2.12) | 79.21% ( -2.12) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.81% ( -0.69) | 6.19% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.59% ( -1.96) | 23.41% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton Ladies | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.18)Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.69% | 1-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.42)0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.16% Total : 13.71% | 0-2 @ 10.27% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 9.53% ( -0.64)1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 8.07% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 6.63% ( -0.75)1-4 @ 5.61% ( -0.2)0-5 @ 3.69% ( -0.59)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.26)1-5 @ 3.12% ( -0.25)2-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.09)0-6 @ 1.71% ( -0.36)1-6 @ 1.45% ( -0.18)2-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 77.6% |
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