Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 21, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
King Power Stadium
We said: Leicester Women 1-2 Manchester City Women
Leicester have exceeded expectations in the opening stages of the new season, but we think that their unbeaten start will be brought to an end when they go up against a Man City side that are expected to feature in the title race this term.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 82.56%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Leicester Women had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.6%) and 0-1 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.52%), while for a Leicester Women win it was 1-0 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result |
| Leicester Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
5.77% ( -0.01) | 11.66% ( -0.02) | 82.56% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.34% ( 0.05) |
| 68.46% ( 0.08) | 31.54% ( -0.08) |
| 46.97% ( 0.1) | 53.03% ( -0.1) |
| 48.05% ( 0.04) | 51.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.03% ( 0.03) | 85.97% ( -0.03) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| 94.35% ( 0.02) | 5.64% ( -0.02) |
