Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 64.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.