Following a dominant performance against Reading and after defeat in the reverse fixture, Arsenal are expected to respond in a professional manner and claim their revenge on the bottom side.
The Gunners are hitting a winning run at a good time in the season to close in on the finish, and there is little Birmingham will be able to do to stop the league leaders on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 93.1%. A draw had a probability of 5.4% and a win for Birmingham City Women had a probability of 1.54%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13.1%) and 2-0 (11.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.52%), while for a Birmingham City Women win it was 0-1 (0.69%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.
