SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 18.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
61.28% ( -0.04) | 20.27% ( -0.16) | 18.44% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( 1.07) | 37.83% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% ( 1.14) | 60.08% ( -1.14) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.07% ( 0.32) | 11.92% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.71% ( 0.67) | 37.28% ( -0.67) |
| Bristol City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.85) | 33.92% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.41% ( 0.91) | 70.59% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Bristol City Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.13% Total : 61.28% | 1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.94% Total : 18.44% |
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