SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 88.73%. A draw had a probability of 7.4% and a win for Reading Women had a probability of 3.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.7%) and 3-1 (7.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.07%), while for a Reading Women win it was 1-2 (1.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Reading Women |
88.73% ( -0.31) | 7.39% ( 0.19) | 3.88% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.99% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.71% ( -0.52) | 16.28% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 67.4% ( -0.8) | 32.6% ( 0.79) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.74% ( -0.11) | 2.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 89.21% ( -0.39) | 10.78% ( 0.39) |
| Reading Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.23% ( -0.11) | 44.76% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.25% ( -0.09) | 80.74% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Reading Women |
| 3-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 8.7% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.14)6-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)7-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)7-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.07)6-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)8-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 5.76% Total : 88.73% | 1-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.97% Total : 7.39% | 1-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 3.88% |
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