Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Women in this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
40.88% (![]() | 23.97% (![]() | 35.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.3% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.02% (![]() | 40.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.63% (![]() | 63.37% (![]() |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% (![]() | 20.27% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.38% (![]() | 52.62% (![]() |
Manchester City Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.88% (![]() | 23.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.02% (![]() | 56.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
2-1 @ 8.74% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.48% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.97% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.27% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 40.88% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 4.69% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 8.02% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.03% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 35.15% |
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