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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 21, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
 

Man Utd Women
2 - 1
Man City Women

Ladd (2'), Garcia (90+1')
Garcia (90+2'), Zelem (90'), Boe Risa (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Angeldal (68')
Angeldal (77')
Roebuck (42')

We said: Manchester United Women 2-1 Manchester City Women

Man United would have been disappointed with the FA Cup final result, but we think that they will bounce back by claiming a narrow victory over a Man City side that have lost their last two away league fixtures to Arsenal and Liverpool. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Women in this match.

Result
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
40.88% (0.055 0.05) 23.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 35.15% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.02% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)40.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)63.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (0.028999999999996 0.03)20.27% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (0.042999999999999 0.04)52.62% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)23.12% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)56.98% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United Women 40.88%
    Manchester City Women 35.15%
    Draw 23.97%
Manchester United WomenDrawManchester City Women
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 3.18% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 10.95%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.15%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea Women 1-0 Man Utd Women
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd Women 3-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-3 Man Utd Women
Friday, April 28 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 1-0 Arsenal Women
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 3-2 Brighton Women
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Women's FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-4 Man Utd Women
Saturday, April 1 at 11.30am in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, May 7 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 4-1 Reading Women
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 6-2 West Ham
Sunday, April 23 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Arsenal Women 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City Women 2-0 Chelsea Women
Sunday, March 26 at 12.40pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Man City Women
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Women's FA Cup


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