SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 82.45%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-2 (2.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
82.45% ( 0.09) | 10.58% ( -0.15) | 6.98% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.14% ( 1.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.93% ( 1.27) | 19.07% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 63.24% ( 1.82) | 36.76% ( -1.81) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.6% ( 0.23) | 3.41% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 85.08% ( 0.77) | 14.92% ( -0.76) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.26% ( 1.39) | 37.75% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.48% ( 1.33) | 74.52% ( -1.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Women |
| 3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.47)2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.15)1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.37)3-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.17)6-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.04)6-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.13)5-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.16)7-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)6-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.11)7-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.09)4-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.09)Other @ 4.54% Total : 82.45% | 1-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.3% Total : 10.58% | 1-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.53% Total : 6.98% |
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