SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 10.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.73%) and 0-3 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 1-0 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
10.11% ( 0.08) | 16.77% ( 0.07) | 73.11% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.47% ( -0.1) | 40.53% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.09% ( -0.1) | 62.91% ( 0.1) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.41% ( 0.09) | 47.58% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.07% ( 0.07) | 82.92% ( -0.06) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.35% ( -0.06) | 9.65% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.78% ( -0.14) | 32.21% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 10.11% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 16.77% | 0-2 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 9.78% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 5.72% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0)0-5 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 73.11% |
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