SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Manchester United Women win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
36.12% ( 1.88) | 23.4% ( -0) | 40.48% ( -1.87) |
| Both teams to score 63.63% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.99% ( 0.4) | 38.01% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( 0.43) | 60.27% ( -0.43) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.74% ( 1.16) | 21.26% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.82% ( 1.77) | 54.18% ( -1.77) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.8% ( -0.64) | 19.19% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.12% ( -1.08) | 50.88% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.21)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.1)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.12% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.26)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.13)Other @ 3.39% Total : 40.48% |
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