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Women's Super League | Gameweek 11
Jan 14, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Trevor Brown Memorial Ground

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Spurs Ladies

Dali (34'), Daly (38')
Nobbs (64'), Brown (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
England (28')
Turner (15'), Ayane (69'), Spence (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Arsenal Women
Sunday, December 11 at 4.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-3 Everton Ladies
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in Women's Super League

We said: Aston Villa Women 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

Neither side has drawn a game in the top flight this term, and we think that trend will continue on Saturday, as we believe that Aston Villa will claim their third home WSL win of the season when they face a Tottenham side who have lost their last four league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.

Result
Aston Villa WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
32.53% (1.02 1.02) 24.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 42.91% (-1.016 -1.02)
Both teams to score 58.4% (0.44900000000001 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.58% (0.399 0.4)44.42% (-0.402 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.21% (0.387 0.39)66.79% (-0.389 -0.39)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.74% (0.831 0.83)26.26% (-0.834 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.63% (1.101 1.1)61.37% (-1.104 -1.1)
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)20.8% (0.288 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54% (-0.457 -0.46)53.45% (0.456 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Women 32.53%
    Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 42.91%
    Draw 24.55%
Aston Villa WomenDrawTottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.161 0.16)
1-0 @ 7.3% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.095 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.18% (0.114 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.53%
1-1 @ 11.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.46% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 9% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-1 @ 8.58% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-2 @ 6.73% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-3 @ 4.71% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 3.15% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 42.91%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-4 Arsenal Women
Sunday, December 11 at 4.15pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man Utd Women 5-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Reading Women
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Liverpool Women 0-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-1 Aston Villa
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Everton Ladies
Saturday, October 22 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-3 Everton Ladies
Wednesday, December 14 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-2 West Ham
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Reading Women 1-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, December 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea Women 3-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, November 20 at 1pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton Women 0-8 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, October 30 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs Ladies 0-3 Man City Women
Saturday, October 22 at 11.30am in Women's Super League


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