SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 3-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
69.26% ( -0.04) | 17.13% ( 0.03) | 13.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.28% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.58% ( -0.12) | 32.42% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.95% ( -0.14) | 54.05% ( 0.14) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.54% ( -0.04) | 8.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.64% ( -0.1) | 29.36% ( 0.1) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0.07) | 36.33% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.88% ( -0.07) | 73.12% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.72% ( 0)1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 69.26% | 1-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 17.13% | 1-2 @ 3.89% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 13.61% |
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