SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
60.28% ( -0.14) | 20.46% ( 0.04) | 19.27% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.09% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.62% ( -0.04) | 37.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.4% ( -0.04) | 59.59% ( 0.04) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.93% ( -0.05) | 12.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.42% ( -0.11) | 37.58% ( 0.11) |
| Liverpool Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.08) | 32.8% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( 0.09) | 69.36% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Women | Draw | Liverpool Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 8.37% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.15% Total : 60.28% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.46% | 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 19.27% |
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