SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
62.78% ( -0.07) | 21.4% ( 0.04) | 15.82% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( -0.1) | 47.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( -0.09) | 69.71% ( 0.09) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.47% ( -0.06) | 14.53% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.45% ( -0.1) | 42.55% ( 0.1) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.15% ( -0.02) | 42.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.84% ( -0.02) | 79.16% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 12% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 62.77% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.82% |
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