SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
64.44% ( -0.11) | 19.54% ( 0.06) | 16.02% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( -0.18) | 38.84% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( -0.19) | 61.15% ( 0.19) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.62% ( -0.08) | 11.37% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.9% ( -0.18) | 36.1% ( 0.18) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.69% ( -0.05) | 37.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.9% ( -0.05) | 74.1% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Aston Villa Women |
| 2-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.17% Total : 64.43% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 16.02% |
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