SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 72.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.94%) and 0-3 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Manchester United Women in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United Women.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
10.33% ( 0.48) | 17.07% ( 0.11) | 72.59% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 47.15% ( 1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.74% ( 0.99) | 41.26% ( -0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.34% ( 0.99) | 63.65% ( -0.99) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.36% ( 1.61) | 47.63% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.04% ( 1.17) | 82.96% ( -1.17) |
| Manchester United Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.03% ( 0.11) | 9.96% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.05% ( 0.25) | 32.94% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester United Women |
| 1-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.5% Total : 10.33% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.74% Total : 17.07% | 0-2 @ 12.62% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 9.7% ( -0.3)1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 7.2% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 5.59% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 4.15% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.16)0-5 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.1)0-6 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 72.59% |
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