SM
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden Women | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Italy Women | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | South Africa Women | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Argentina Women | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sweden Women | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Italy Women | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | South Africa Women | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Argentina Women | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Italy Women had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.93%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Italy Women win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sweden Women | Draw | Italy Women |
63.29% ( 0.08) | 21.41% ( -0.04) | 15.3% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( 0.12) | 48.5% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( 0.11) | 70.63% ( -0.11) |
| Sweden Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.31% ( 0.06) | 14.69% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.13% ( 0.12) | 42.86% ( -0.12) |
| Italy Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.84% ( 0.03) | 44.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.75% ( 0.02) | 80.25% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden Women | Draw | Italy Women |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 63.29% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 21.41% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.16% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 15.3% |
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