Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 65.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 12.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.05%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Albania would win this match.
