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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
 
PN

San Marino
1 - 7
Poland

Nanni (48')
Nanni (30'), Tomassini (40'), Lunadei (42'), Mularoni (57')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Lewandowski (4', 21'), Swiderski (16'), Linetty (44'), Buksa (67', 90+2', 90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawPoland
17.48%21.64%60.88%
Both teams to score 51.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33%45.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01%67.99%
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.33%39.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.65%76.34%
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.47%14.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.45%42.54%
Score Analysis
    San Marino 17.48%
    Poland 60.87%
    Draw 21.63%
San MarinoDrawPoland
1-0 @ 5.33%
2-1 @ 4.75%
2-0 @ 2.46%
3-1 @ 1.46%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 17.48%
1-1 @ 10.27%
0-0 @ 5.76%
2-2 @ 4.58%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.63%
0-1 @ 11.11%
0-2 @ 10.72%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-3 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 6.38%
0-4 @ 3.33%
1-4 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.95%
2-4 @ 1.42%
0-5 @ 1.28%
1-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 60.87%

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