Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Niger had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.
