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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
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Algeria
6 - 1
Niger

Mahrez (27', 60' pen.), Oumarou (47' og.), Souleymane (70' og.), Slimani (76', 88')
Zerrouki (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sosah (50')
Adebayor (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Niger had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Niger win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
AlgeriaDrawNiger
60.07%23.36%16.56%
Both teams to score 44.66%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02%53.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58%75.42%
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71%48.28%
Niger Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.24%45.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.47%81.52%
Score Analysis
    Algeria 60.06%
    Niger 16.56%
    Draw 23.35%
AlgeriaDrawNiger
1-0 @ 14%
2-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 9.5%
3-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 5.49%
4-0 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.15%
5-0 @ 1.06%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 60.06%
1-1 @ 10.95%
0-0 @ 8.08%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.35%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 4.28%
0-2 @ 2.47%
1-3 @ 1.12%
2-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 16.56%

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