Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 55.11%. A win for Angola had a probability of 22.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Angola win was 2-1 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
