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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 11, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
AN

Gabon
2 - 0
Angola

Aubameyang (74'), Carneiro (84' og.)
Madinda (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Papel (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Angola had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Angola win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gabon would win this match.

Result
GabonDrawAngola
47.17%26.34%26.49%
Both teams to score 49.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.12%54.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.83%76.17%
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.74%23.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.81%57.18%
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02%35.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24%72.75%
Score Analysis
    Gabon 47.16%
    Angola 26.49%
    Draw 26.34%
GabonDrawAngola
1-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 8.9%
3-1 @ 4.42%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 2.26%
4-1 @ 1.61%
4-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.47%
0-0 @ 8.37%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.56%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 4.37%
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 26.49%

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