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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
WN

Belarus
2 - 3
Wales

Lisakovich (29' pen.), Sedko (30')
Chernik (4'), Bykov (11'), Kondratjev (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bale (5' pen., 69' pen., 90+3')
Gunter (27')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Belarus win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawWales
37.35%24.2%38.44%
Both teams to score 60.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13%41.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73%64.27%
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.64%22.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.14%55.86%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19%21.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.97%55.02%
Score Analysis
    Belarus 37.35%
    Wales 38.44%
    Draw 24.2%
BelarusDrawWales
2-1 @ 8.33%
1-0 @ 7.31%
2-0 @ 5.47%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-2 @ 3.17%
3-0 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 37.35%
1-1 @ 11.12%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.88%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.47%
0-1 @ 7.43%
0-2 @ 5.66%
1-3 @ 4.3%
2-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.23%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 38.44%

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