SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 37.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.43%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Belarus win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wales would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Wales |
| 37.35% | 24.2% | 38.44% |
| Both teams to score 60.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.13% | 41.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.73% | 64.27% |
| Belarus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% | 22.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.14% | 55.86% |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.19% | 21.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.97% | 55.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belarus | Draw | Wales |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 7.31% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 3.17% 3-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.19% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.34% 0-0 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-1 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5.66% 1-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 1.23% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.44% |
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