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European Championship | Round of 16
Jun 26, 2021 at 5pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
DN

Wales
0 - 4
Denmark


Rodon (26'), Moore (40'), Brooks (80'), Bale (90+3')
Wilson (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dolberg (27', 48'), Maehle (88'), Braithwaite (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Wales had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Wales win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.

Result
WalesDrawDenmark
25.4%23.57%51.03%
Both teams to score 56.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74%44.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36%66.63%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83%31.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.5%67.5%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.6%17.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.17%47.82%
Score Analysis
    Wales 25.4%
    Denmark 51.03%
    Draw 23.56%
WalesDrawDenmark
2-1 @ 6.44%
1-0 @ 6.32%
2-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 2.5%
3-2 @ 2.19%
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.4%
1-1 @ 11.05%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.56%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-1 @ 9.48%
0-2 @ 8.29%
1-3 @ 5.64%
0-3 @ 4.83%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 2.46%
0-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.44%
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 51.03%

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