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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 11, 2021 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
MN

Benin
2 - 0
Madagascar

Dossou (43'), Mounie (79')
Verdon (39'), D'Almeida (63'), Dossou (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fabrice Rakotondraibe (41'), Gladyson (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 38.98%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Benin had a probability of 30.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 1-2 (7.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Benin win it was 1-0 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
BeninDrawMadagascar
30.35%30.66%38.98%
Both teams to score 39.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.45%67.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.37%85.63%
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.14%39.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47%76.53%
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2%33.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54%70.46%
Score Analysis
    Benin 30.35%
    Madagascar 38.98%
    Draw 30.66%
BeninDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 12.39%
2-1 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 30.35%
0-0 @ 13.47%
1-1 @ 13.44%
2-2 @ 3.35%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 30.66%
0-1 @ 14.61%
0-2 @ 7.93%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-3 @ 2.87%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.98%

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