Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Djibouti win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.