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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
BF

Djibouti
0 - 4
Burkina Faso


Wais (23'), Mohamed Aden (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tapsoba (45+1', 48'), Kabore (50'), Konate (59')
Dabo (23'), Konate (80'), Koffi (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.

Result
DjiboutiDrawBurkina Faso
36.27%24.98%38.74%
Both teams to score 57.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37%45.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.05%67.95%
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35%24.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.83%59.16%
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.71%57.29%
Score Analysis
    Djibouti 36.27%
    Burkina Faso 38.74%
    Draw 24.98%
DjiboutiDrawBurkina Faso
2-1 @ 8.21%
1-0 @ 8.05%
2-0 @ 5.64%
3-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 2.79%
3-0 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-2 @ 0.98%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 11.72%
2-2 @ 5.97%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 8.53%
0-1 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.09%
1-3 @ 4.14%
0-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.51%
0-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 38.74%

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