Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.
