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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2021 at 12.15am UK
 
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Chile
0 - 2
Ecuador


Meneses (55')
Vidal (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Estupinan (9'), Caicedo (90+3')
Castillo (26'), Franco (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
ChileDrawEcuador
57.52%23.27%19.22%
Both teams to score 49.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14%49.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.14%71.86%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.91%17.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.72%47.28%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86%40.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.23%76.77%
Score Analysis
    Chile 57.5%
    Ecuador 19.22%
    Draw 23.26%
ChileDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.3%
3-1 @ 5.76%
4-0 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 57.5%
1-1 @ 11.06%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 6.26%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.86%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 19.22%

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