Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Chile had a probability of 28.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.
