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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
CN

Ecuador
0 - 0
Chile


Valencia (21')
Sornoza (63')
FT

Vegas (13'), Roco (58'), Vargas (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 40.42%. A draw had a probability of 31.2% and a win for Chile had a probability of 28.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (7.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.51%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood.

Result
EcuadorDrawChile
40.42%31.23%28.35%
Both teams to score 37.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.44%69.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.05%86.95%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66%34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32%70.68%
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.31%42.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.97%79.03%
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 40.41%
    Chile 28.35%
    Draw 31.22%
EcuadorDrawChile
1-0 @ 15.65%
2-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.19%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.41%
0-0 @ 14.51%
1-1 @ 13.32%
2-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 31.22%
0-1 @ 12.35%
1-2 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 28.35%

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