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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
 
EN

Uruguay
1 - 0
Ecuador

Pereiro (90+2')
Bentancur (66'), Nandez (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Castillo (59')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 11.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.35%) and 3-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.17%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 20.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Uruguay in this match.

Result
UruguayDrawEcuador
62.74%25.32%11.93%
Both teams to score 30.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.07%66.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.78%85.22%
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.28%21.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11%54.89%
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.36%60.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.03%90.97%
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 62.74%
    Ecuador 11.93%
    Draw 25.32%
UruguayDrawEcuador
1-0 @ 20.11%
2-0 @ 15.35%
3-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 3.91%
4-0 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 1.49%
3-2 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 62.74%
0-0 @ 13.17%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 2.52%
0-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 11.93%

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