Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 35.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 32.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.16%) and 1-2 (6.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (14.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
