SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 35.4%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Peru had a probability of 32.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.16%) and 1-2 (6.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.84%), while for a Peru win it was 1-0 (14.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Chile |
| 32.2% | 32.41% | 35.4% |
| Both teams to score 36.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 28.07% | 71.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.56% | 88.44% |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59% | 41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.44% | 77.55% |
| Chile Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.35% | 38.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.61% | 75.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Chile |
| 1-0 @ 14.12% 2-0 @ 6.3% 2-1 @ 5.99% 3-0 @ 1.87% 3-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.19% | 0-0 @ 15.84% 1-1 @ 13.43% 2-2 @ 2.85% Other @ 0.28% Total : 32.4% | 0-1 @ 15.06% 0-2 @ 7.16% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.59% Total : 35.39% |
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