SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chinese Taipei win with a probability of 49.77%. A win for East Timor had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chinese Taipei win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest East Timor win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chinese Taipei would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chinese Taipei | Draw | East Timor |
49.77% ( 0.02) | 22.68% ( -0.01) | 27.54% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.97% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.6% ( 0.02) | 38.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.31% ( 0.03) | 60.69% ( -0.02) |
| Chinese Taipei Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( 0.02) | 15.69% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.25% ( 0.03) | 44.75% ( -0.03) |
| East Timor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.5% ( 0) | 26.5% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( 0.01) | 61.69% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chinese Taipei | Draw | East Timor |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.78% | 1-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.67% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 1% 2-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.23% Total : 27.54% |
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