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World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 14, 2021 at 1pm UK
 
BN

Congo DR
2 - 0
Benin

Mbokani (10' pen.), Malango (74')
Moutoussamy (35'), Mbemba (61'), Kiassumbua (84'), Bastien (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adenon (8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo DR win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Benin had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo DR win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Congo DR would win this match.

Result
Congo DRDrawBenin
48.05%24.57%27.38%
Both teams to score 55.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88%47.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65%69.35%
Congo DR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33%19.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34%51.66%
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54%67.46%
Score Analysis
    Congo DR 48.05%
    Benin 27.38%
    Draw 24.57%
Congo DRDrawBenin
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 5.12%
3-0 @ 4.39%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.78%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.15%
1-2 @ 6.78%
0-2 @ 4.17%
1-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 27.38%

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