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World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Oct 8, 2021 at 3.05am UK
 
PN

El Salvador
1 - 0
Panama

Hernandez (37')
Pineda (74'), Punyed (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Godoy (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Panama had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Panama win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for El Salvador in this match.

Result
El SalvadorDrawPanama
45.89%26.34%27.77%
Both teams to score 50.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89%54.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46%75.53%
El Salvador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47%23.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.42%57.57%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.48%34.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.76%71.24%
Score Analysis
    El Salvador 45.89%
    Panama 27.77%
    Draw 26.34%
El SalvadorDrawPanama
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.5%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.89%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 8.12%
2-2 @ 4.81%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.64%
1-2 @ 6.65%
0-2 @ 4.59%
1-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.71%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.77%

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